Coordinating Synchronous Interdependent Decisions In Complex Projects
DS 112: Proceedings of the 23rd International DSM Conference (DSM 2021), Montréal, Canada, October, 12 - 14, 2021
Editor: Harold (Mike) Stowe; Tyson R. Browning; Steven D. Eppinger; Jakob Trauer
Author: Kilani, Meriam; Marle, Franck; Vidal, Ludovic-Alexandre
Institution: CentraleSupélec, France
DOI number: 10.35199/dsm2021.12
Oil and gas projects present a wide range of opportunities and issues that challenge decision-making processes. The major challenge addressed here concerns the coordination of multiple interdependent decisions. To overcome this challenge, we have explored two resolution strategies. The first one is a strategy by synchronous decisions, the second one is a strategy by asynchronous decisions. We present here the first strategy, including two similar modeling methods that can be conducted for such strategy: a QFD approach or a morphological approach. In the first stage, a set of scenarios is generated, then consistency between different decision alternatives is investigated using compatibility matrix. In the second stage, an evaluation and selection of an appropriate scenario is performed. Finally, to illustrate this strategy, an example is presented. This paper concludes that a structured methodology is promising for such contexts and draws some perspectives for asynchronous strategy and for the global strategy choice.
Keywords: oil and gas development projects, Exploration & Production megaprojects, Decision Modeling, DSM, compatibility of decisions, Morphological analysis, Multi-criteria decision, QFD